Scouting Report
Jack Studnicka holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Studnicka on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Studnicka 48.7% vs Johnston 44.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Studnicka 64.3%
Defensive zone
Studnicka 55.4%
Neutral zone
Studnicka 52.6%
Result
Jack Studnicka favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Studnicka
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Studnicka
Johnston
Last 5: Studnicka 4-1 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Studnicka
2
0
Studnicka
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Studnicka
2
1
Studnicka
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Studnicka
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (150)
42.5% (318)
+5.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
55.6% (9)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
62.5% (8)
-2.5%
On power play, Johnston has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Studnicka is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Studnicka shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Studnicka
Johnston
Home
49.3% (71)
40.5% (168)
Away
46.7% (90)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Studnicka
Johnston
P1
38.1%
46.9%
P2
55.6%
40.4%
P3
52.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
34.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
47.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |