Jackson Cates vs Michael McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 52.3% vs McLeod 58.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 89.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 53.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 73.2%
Result
Jackson Cates favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Cates
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cates
McLeod
Last 5: Cates 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Cates
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Cates
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (73)
59.2% (2,894)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
53.5% (525)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Cates is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Cates shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Cates
McLeod
Home
52.2% (23)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
56.6% (53)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Cates
McLeod
P1
58.1%
58.7%
P2
45.5%
59.9%
P3
60.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
54.0%▬
55.3%
55.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jackson Cates |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |