Scouting Report
Jackson Cates holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 52.6% vs McLeod 56.6% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 81.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.5%
Result
Jackson Cates favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Cates
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (30)
58.3% (859)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
53.0% (168)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Cates is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Cates shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Cates
McLeod
Home
64.3% (14)
55.3% (526)
Away
57.9% (19)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Cates
McLeod
P1
50.0%
60.7%
P2
66.7%
55.9%
P3
66.7%
55.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
54.0%▬
55.3%
60.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%