Scouting Report
Jackson Cates holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 50.8% vs McLeod 51.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 75.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Cates
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cates
McLeod
Last 5: Cates 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Cates
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Cates
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (24)
53.9% (534)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Cates shoots left. McLeod is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Cates
McLeod
Home
40.0% (5)
50.5% (275)
Away
57.9% (19)
52.2% (358)
By Period
Cates
McLeod
P1
50.0%
50.5%
P2
37.5%
56.1%
P3
83.3%
47.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
54.0%▬
55.3%
54.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jackson Cates |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |