Scouting Report
Jackson Cates holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 50.8% vs Maltsev 47.7% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 55.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.2%
Result
Jackson Cates favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Cates
Maltsev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cates
Maltsev
Last 5: Cates 3-2 Maltsev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Maltsev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Maltsev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Maltsev
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (24)
46.2% (158)
+8.0%
On even strength, Cates has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Maltsev shoots left. Cates is 64.3% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Cates shoots left. Maltsev is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Cates
Maltsev
Home
40.0% (5)
46.2% (91)
Away
57.9% (19)
46.4% (69)
By Period
Cates
Maltsev
P1
50.0%
40.4%
P2
37.5%
56.4%
P3
83.3%
41.5%
Final 5 min
66.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
54.0%▬
55.3%
54.2%
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jackson Cates |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jackson Cates |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Jackson Cates |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |