Scouting Report
Jackson Cates holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 52.6% vs Maltsev 53.4% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Cates 51.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.1%
Neutral zone
Maltsev 51.8%
Result
Mikhail Maltsev favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Cates
Maltsev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Maltsev
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (30)
59.5% (74)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Maltsev shoots left. Cates is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Cates shoots left. Maltsev is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Cates
Maltsev
Home
64.3% (14)
57.8% (45)
Away
57.9% (19)
58.1% (31)
By Period
Cates
Maltsev
P1
50.0%
63.0%
P2
66.7%
59.3%
P3
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
54.0%▬
55.3%
60.6%
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
57.9%