Scouting Report
Jackson Cates holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 52.3% vs Cousins 45.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 62.9%
Defensive zone
Cousins 51.5%
Neutral zone
Cousins 56.4%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cates
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cates
Cousins
Last 5: Cates 2-3 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Cates
Cousins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Cousins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (73)
44.9% (1,508)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
42.9% (7)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Cates is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Cates shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Cates
Cousins
Home
52.2% (23)
46.7% (809)
Away
56.6% (53)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Cates
Cousins
P1
58.1%
47.5%
P2
45.5%
43.6%
P3
60.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
60.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
54.0%▬
55.3%
55.3%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Jackson Cates |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Jackson Cates |