Jacob de la Rose vs Mathew Barzal
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jacob de la Rose holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 45.1% vs Barzal 43.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 54.2%
Defensive zone
Rose 61.5%
Neutral zone
Rose 62.1%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Rose
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rose
Barzal
Last 6: Rose 4-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Rose
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
0
Rose
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (423)
42.3% (813)
+3.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.4% (19)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
100.0% (2)
-68.3%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +68.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Rose is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Rose shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Rose
Barzal
Home
46.7% (227)
44.3% (436)
Away
41.7% (240)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Rose
Barzal
P1
47.5%
39.7%
P2
42.9%
44.3%
P3
41.1%
44.2%
Final 5 min
41.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |