Jacob de la Rose vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jacob de la Rose holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.0%
Defensive zone
Rose 79.7%
Neutral zone
Rose 68.0%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Rose
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rose
Barzal
Last 7: Rose 5-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Rose
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
3
0
Rose
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,358)
41.9% (3,565)
+2.1%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
43.4% (205)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (139)
42.3% (26)
+0.9%
On power play, Rose has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Rose is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Rose shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Rose
Barzal
Home
46.0% (781)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
41.8% (737)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Rose
Barzal
P1
45.9%
40.7%
P2
43.5%
44.4%
P3
42.1%
41.0%
OT
0.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |