Jacob de la Rose vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jacob de la Rose holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 50.9% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.8%
Defensive zone
Rose 74.9%
Neutral zone
Rose 63.9%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Rose
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Rose
MacKinnon
Last 8: Rose 5-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rose
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (120)
48.2% (849)
+4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.0% (151)
+49.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.7% (47)
-11.4%
On power play, Rose has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rose is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Rose shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Rose
MacKinnon
Home
46.3% (67)
51.2% (521)
Away
57.1% (63)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Rose
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
54.1%
48.0%
P3
51.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
51.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |