Jacob de la Rose vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Rose wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Rose leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.2%
Defensive zone
Rose 54.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Rose
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Rose
MacKinnon
Last 10: Rose 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rose
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rose
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,358)
46.1% (11,218)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.3% (1,412)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (139)
42.8% (502)
+0.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rose is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Rose shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Rose
MacKinnon
Home
46.0% (781)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
41.8% (737)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Rose
MacKinnon
P1
45.9%
47.4%
P2
43.5%
46.6%
P3
42.1%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |