Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rose wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 48.6% vs Steel 52.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 55.6%
Defensive zone
Rose 69.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 62.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Rose
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rose
Steel
Last 6: Rose 3-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
0
Rose
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Rose
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (68)
51.6% (401)
-6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (39)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Rose has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Rose is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Rose shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Rose
Steel
Home
54.1% (37)
55.8% (206)
Away
38.9% (36)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Rose
Steel
P1
47.8%
57.0%
P2
51.7%
50.7%
P3
38.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Sam Steel |