Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rose wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 74.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 52.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 67.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Rose
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rose
Steel
Last 7: Rose 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
2
0
Rose
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Rose
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,358)
50.6% (2,876)
-6.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
62.6% (179)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (139)
37.4% (254)
+5.8%
On power play, Steel has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Rose is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (963).
Rose shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Rose
Steel
Home
46.0% (781)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
41.8% (737)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Rose
Steel
P1
45.9%
51.9%
P2
43.5%
49.5%
P3
42.1%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |