Scouting Report
Jacob Gaucher holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaucher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaucher 51.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaucher 89.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.4%
Result
Jacob Gaucher favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Gaucher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gaucher
Dowd
Last 6: Gaucher 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaucher
2
1
Gaucher
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaucher
2
1
Gaucher
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaucher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (33)
52.4% (6,009)
+5.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.1% (164)
-56.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Gaucher is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Gaucher shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Gaucher
Dowd
Home
56.5% (23)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
54.5% (11)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Gaucher
Dowd
P1
60.0%
51.7%
P2
46.2%
50.4%
P3
66.7%
50.3%
Final 5 min
80.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaucher
55.9%▬
55.9%
55.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jacob Gaucher |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jacob Gaucher |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Gaucher |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Gaucher |