Scouting Report
Jacob Gaucher holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaucher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaucher 52.2% vs Dowd 49.9% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaucher 90.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.7%
Neutral zone
Gaucher 55.4%
Result
Jacob Gaucher favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Gaucher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gaucher
Dowd
Last 6: Gaucher 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaucher
2
1
Gaucher
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaucher
2
1
Gaucher
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaucher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
66.7% (15)
52.2% (835)
+14.5%
On even strength, Gaucher has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Gaucher is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Gaucher shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Gaucher
Dowd
Home
66.7% (9)
51.5% (619)
Away
66.7% (6)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Gaucher
Dowd
P1
66.7%
51.7%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
100.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaucher
55.9%▬
55.9%
66.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jacob Gaucher |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jacob Gaucher |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Gaucher |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Gaucher |