Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Ward 48.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 52.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 50.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 52.6%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Josefson
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Josefson
Ward
Last 9: Josefson 3-6 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
3
Josefson
Ward
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Ward
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
2
Josefson
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
51.3% (1,186)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
53.4% (238)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
35.5% (366)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Josefson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (958).
Josefson shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Josefson
Ward
Home
50.5% (1,517)
50.3% (870)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Josefson
Ward
P1
46.4%
47.6%
P2
50.1%
47.5%
P3
49.8%
50.3%
OT
37.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Joel Ward |