Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Josefson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.0% vs Bailey 45.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bailey 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 54.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Josefson
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Josefson
Bailey
Last 10: Josefson 4-6 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
4
Josefson
Bailey
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Josefson
Bailey
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (169)
44.2% (441)
+4.3%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
48.1% (81)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.7% (84)
+58.3%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Josefson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Josefson shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Josefson
Bailey
Home
44.8% (116)
43.1% (295)
Away
50.0% (86)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Josefson
Bailey
P1
47.1%
46.5%
P2
48.1%
45.7%
P3
45.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |