Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Bailey 45.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Josefson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Josefson 70.0%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Josefson
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Josefson
Bailey
Last 10: Josefson 9-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
0
Josefson
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Josefson
Bailey
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
4
3
Josefson
Bailey
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
45.8% (1,991)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
48.1% (295)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
39.9% (281)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Josefson
Bailey
Home
50.5% (1,517)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Josefson
Bailey
P1
46.4%
46.5%
P2
50.1%
44.8%
P3
49.8%
44.4%
OT
37.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |