Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 50.9% vs Bailey 44.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 81.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 66.7%
Neutral zone
Josefson 81.4%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Josefson
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Josefson
Bailey
Last 5: Josefson 4-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
0
Josefson
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (301)
44.2% (579)
+7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
52.5% (40)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
39.8% (108)
+6.4%
On even strength, Josefson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Josefson shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Josefson
Bailey
Home
53.7% (216)
45.9% (375)
Away
47.1% (138)
41.8% (361)
By Period
Josefson
Bailey
P1
51.9%
47.3%
P2
50.8%
40.4%
P3
50.4%
43.3%
OT
100.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |