Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.6% vs Spaling 51.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Josefson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Josefson 64.2%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Josefson
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Josefson
Spaling
Last 7: Josefson 2-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Josefson
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Josefson
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (513)
52.5% (461)
-5.3%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
66.7% (9)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
46.6% (131)
-0.7%
On power play, Spaling has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Josefson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Josefson shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Josefson
Spaling
Home
51.6% (351)
57.2% (297)
Away
44.9% (316)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Josefson
Spaling
P1
46.3%
54.2%
P2
51.2%
46.6%
P3
48.2%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |