Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Spaling 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Josefson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Josefson 55.1%
Neutral zone
Josefson 55.2%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Josefson
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Josefson
Spaling
Last 10: Josefson 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
4
Josefson
Spaling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
6
Josefson
Spaling
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
50.5% (2,263)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
43.4% (53)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
48.0% (498)
-2.2%
On power play, Josefson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Josefson
Spaling
Home
50.5% (1,517)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Josefson
Spaling
P1
46.4%
49.8%
P2
50.1%
48.3%
P3
49.8%
52.0%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |