Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.6% vs Hertl 54.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Josefson 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Josefson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Josefson
Hertl
Last 6: Josefson 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Josefson
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (513)
55.0% (382)
-7.8%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
59.7% (67)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
75.0% (8)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Josefson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Josefson shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Josefson
Hertl
Home
51.6% (351)
58.8% (221)
Away
44.9% (316)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Josefson
Hertl
P1
46.3%
52.6%
P2
51.2%
53.6%
P3
48.2%
62.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |