Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Hertl 54.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Josefson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 85.7%
Neutral zone
Josefson 77.4%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Josefson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Josefson
Hertl
Last 10: Josefson 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
9
Josefson
Hertl
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
53.8% (8,268)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
59.3% (1,975)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
46.3% (806)
-0.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Josefson
Hertl
Home
50.5% (1,517)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Josefson
Hertl
P1
46.4%
53.6%
P2
50.1%
54.1%
P3
49.8%
55.3%
OT
37.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |