Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quillan 47.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Quillan 55.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Quillan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Quillan
Eller
Last 6: Quillan 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Quillan
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Quillan
2
0
Quillan
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Quillan
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quillan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (76)
51.1% (10,296)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.7% (1,751)
+3.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Quillan is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Quillan shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Quillan
Eller
Home
49.0% (49)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
35.5% (31)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Quillan
Eller
P1
39.4%
51.2%
P2
36.8%
50.1%
P3
53.6%
50.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quillan
42.0%▼
43.8%
43.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |