Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schwartz wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.0% vs Fisher 52.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 67.8%
Defensive zone
Fisher 78.1%
Neutral zone
Fisher 84.1%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Schwartz
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Schwartz
Fisher
Last 5: Schwartz 5-0 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
4
0
Schwartz
Fisher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (97)
51.7% (845)
-10.5%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
54.3% (210)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
53.2% (94)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Schwartz is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Schwartz shoots left. Fisher is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Fisher
Home
47.4% (78)
54.4% (572)
Away
45.6% (68)
50.3% (577)
By Period
Schwartz
Fisher
P1
43.2%
50.4%
P2
52.7%
52.8%
P3
40.5%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
46.6%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2015 | OT | 01:16 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |