Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 50.0% vs Fisher 51.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Schwartz leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwartz 65.0%
Defensive zone
Fisher 94.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 75.2%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Schwartz
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Schwartz
Fisher
Last 10: Schwartz 8-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
7
1
Schwartz
Fisher
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
Schwartz
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (651)
51.4% (6,100)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.2% (345)
53.8% (1,126)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
48.8% (781)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Schwartz is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Schwartz shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Fisher
Home
51.3% (526)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
48.6% (516)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Schwartz
Fisher
P1
49.1%
49.6%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
51.0%
52.2%
OT
53.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 29, 2015 | OT | 01:16 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |