Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 50.1% vs Fisher 51.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Schwartz leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwartz 70.0%
Defensive zone
Fisher 94.0%
Neutral zone
Fisher 71.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Schwartz
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Schwartz
Fisher
Last 10: Schwartz 8-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
7
1
Schwartz
Fisher
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
Schwartz
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (640)
51.4% (6,100)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.4% (342)
53.8% (1,126)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
48.8% (781)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Schwartz is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Schwartz shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Fisher
Home
51.4% (525)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
48.7% (503)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Schwartz
Fisher
P1
48.9%
49.6%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
52.2%
OT
53.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 29, 2015 | OT | 01:16 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |