Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 49.6% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 60.7%
Defensive zone
Rantanen 57.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 50.7%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Schwartz
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (32)
46.3% (309)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.3% (39)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
16.7% (6)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Rantanen has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Schwartz is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Schwartz shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Rantanen
Home
42.1% (19)
51.8% (197)
Away
56.3% (16)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Schwartz
Rantanen
P1
47.1%
47.2%
P2
45.5%
44.8%
P3
40.0%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%