Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Dowell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mueller wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 49.2% vs Dowell 49.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 54.6%
Defensive zone
Dowell 54.2%
Neutral zone
Dowell 56.9%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Mueller
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Mueller
Dowell
Last 10: Mueller 5-5 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Mueller
Dowell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mueller
Dowell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mueller
3
1
Mueller
Dowell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (88)
49.9% (573)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.8% (64)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Dowell has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Mueller is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Mueller shoots right. Dowell is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Mueller
Dowell
Home
50.0% (12)
52.5% (303)
Away
48.1% (77)
45.8% (349)
By Period
Mueller
Dowell
P1
42.4%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
47.0%
P3
52.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
48.3%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |