Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Smithson 56.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 88.6%
Defensive zone
Dowell 79.1%
Neutral zone
Dowell 85.4%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Dowell
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Dowell
Smithson
Last 10: Dowell 3-7 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Dowell
Smithson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
4
Dowell
Smithson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
4
Dowell
Smithson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
59.8% (778)
-9.9%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
54.2% (24)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
49.0% (198)
-5.2%
On power play, Smithson has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Dowell is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Dowell shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Dowell
Smithson
Home
52.5% (303)
59.2% (534)
Away
45.8% (349)
55.5% (472)
By Period
Dowell
Smithson
P1
49.5%
56.1%
P2
47.0%
58.0%
P3
50.7%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |