Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Cullen 53.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dowell 83.8%
Neutral zone
Dowell 84.4%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Dowell
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Dowell
Cullen
Last 8: Dowell 1-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Dowell
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Dowell
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Dowell
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
54.8% (5,371)
-5.7%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
52.3% (421)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
48.0% (953)
-1.1%
On power play, Cullen has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Dowell
Cullen
Home
51.8% (413)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
45.8% (443)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Dowell
Cullen
P1
50.4%
54.7%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
49.7%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |