Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Chaput 51.5% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Dowell 54.7%
Defensive zone
Chaput 54.6%
Neutral zone
Chaput 53.4%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Dowell
Chaput
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
52.2% (1,168)
-3.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
42.9% (14)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
42.9% (70)
+4.0%
On power play, Chaput has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Dowell
Chaput
Home
51.8% (413)
53.5% (602)
Away
45.8% (443)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Dowell
Chaput
P1
50.4%
48.6%
P2
46.6%
51.6%
P3
49.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%