Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Bonino 48.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.9%
Defensive zone
Dowell 63.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.8%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Dowell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Dowell
Bonino
Last 10: Dowell 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowell
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowell
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Dowell
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
48.0% (150)
+1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
0.0% (4)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Dowell has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Bonino is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Dowell
Bonino
Home
52.5% (303)
46.9% (98)
Away
45.8% (349)
47.1% (68)
By Period
Dowell
Bonino
P1
49.5%
55.6%
P2
47.0%
50.8%
P3
50.7%
36.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |