Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 58.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dowell 52.3%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Dowell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Dowell
Bonino
Last 10: Dowell 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
2
Dowell
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Dowell
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Dowell
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.5%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
54.1% (972)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Dowell
Bonino
Home
51.8% (413)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.8% (443)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Dowell
Bonino
P1
50.4%
50.6%
P2
46.6%
48.5%
P3
49.7%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |