Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 49.1% vs Spaling 50.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 67.9%
Defensive zone
Dowell 54.9%
Neutral zone
Dowell 57.6%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Dowell
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowell
Spaling
Last 6: Dowell 2-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
2
Dowell
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowell
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (573)
51.6% (353)
-1.7%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
50.0% (8)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (64)
49.3% (136)
-5.5%
On power play, Spaling has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Dowell shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Dowell
Spaling
Home
52.5% (303)
49.2% (260)
Away
45.8% (349)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Dowell
Spaling
P1
49.5%
55.2%
P2
47.0%
49.7%
P3
50.7%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |