Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Spaling 49.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 64.7%
Defensive zone
Dowell 61.0%
Neutral zone
Dowell 65.7%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Dowell
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dowell
Spaling
Last 7: Dowell 2-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Dowell
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowell
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
50.5% (2,263)
-1.4%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
43.4% (53)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
48.0% (498)
-1.1%
On power play, Spaling has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Dowell
Spaling
Home
51.8% (413)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
45.8% (443)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Dowell
Spaling
P1
50.4%
49.8%
P2
46.6%
48.3%
P3
49.7%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |