Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 67.3%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 57.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 59.2%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Dowell
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dowell
Jokinen
Last 7: Dowell 2-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowell
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Dowell
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Dowell
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
45.8% (3,924)
+3.3%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
50.8% (585)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
42.9% (247)
+4.0%
On power play, Jokinen has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Dowell
Jokinen
Home
51.8% (413)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
45.8% (443)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Dowell
Jokinen
P1
50.4%
45.6%
P2
46.6%
47.5%
P3
49.7%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |