Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Varone 47.7% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Dowell 50.2%
Defensive zone
Dowell 50.3%
Neutral zone
Dowell 50.2%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Dowell
Varone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
47.5% (575)
+1.6%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
38.5% (13)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
50.0% (2)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Varone has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Dowell
Varone
Home
51.8% (413)
48.0% (221)
Away
45.8% (443)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Dowell
Varone
P1
50.4%
50.0%
P2
46.6%
42.7%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%