Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Dowell 52.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 51.1%
Neutral zone
Dowell 52.7%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dowell
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
48.5% (612)
+0.6%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
28.6% (7)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
46.8% (62)
+0.1%
On power play, Dowell has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Dowell
Ostapchuk
Home
51.8% (413)
48.6% (319)
Away
45.8% (443)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Dowell
Ostapchuk
P1
50.4%
48.2%
P2
46.6%
45.8%
P3
49.7%
50.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%