Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Martinook 50.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 73.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Evans
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Evans
Martinook
Last 5: Evans 3-2 Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
0
2
Evans
Martinook
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Martinook
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Martinook
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.9% (77)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
33.3% (3)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
46.7% (15)
-0.6%
On power play, Evans has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Martinook is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Evans
Martinook
Home
53.7% (581)
46.0% (50)
Away
50.5% (556)
55.6% (45)
By Period
Evans
Martinook
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
52.8%
P3
52.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |