Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Turris 52.0% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Turris 71.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Evans
Turris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
56.1% (41)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
55.6% (9)
-2.3%
On even strength, Turris has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Turris is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Evans
Turris
Home
52.1% (503)
45.8% (24)
Away
47.0% (423)
65.4% (26)
By Period
Evans
Turris
P1
50.5%
64.7%
P2
47.7%
64.7%
P3
51.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.0%