Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Cooley 45.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 90.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.3%
Neutral zone
Cooley 67.5%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Evans
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Evans
Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
1
Evans
Cooley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Cooley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
2
Evans
Cooley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
43.9% (392)
+12.3%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
46.5% (71)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
57.1% (7)
-1.7%
On power play, Evans has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Evans
Cooley
Home
55.3% (374)
45.0% (211)
Away
57.1% (317)
44.0% (259)
By Period
Evans
Cooley
P1
58.5%
44.0%
P2
55.7%
49.7%
P3
53.9%
38.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |