Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Cooley 45.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 97.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 83.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Evans
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Evans
Cooley
Last 7: Evans 6-1 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Cooley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Cooley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
44.1% (632)
+10.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
46.3% (108)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
55.0% (20)
-6.9%
On power play, Evans has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Cooley is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Evans
Cooley
Home
55.1% (541)
46.4% (418)
Away
50.8% (581)
42.7% (342)
By Period
Evans
Cooley
P1
51.8%
44.3%
P2
53.3%
45.6%
P3
53.8%
44.0%
OT
38.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |