Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Kunin 46.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 78.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Evans
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Evans
Kunin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
42.9% (84)
+8.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
40.0% (15)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
60.0% (10)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Kunin is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Evans
Kunin
Home
52.1% (503)
46.3% (54)
Away
47.0% (423)
41.8% (55)
By Period
Evans
Kunin
P1
50.5%
52.6%
P2
47.7%
38.1%
P3
51.3%
41.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |