Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Janmark on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Janmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.6% vs Janmark 47.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 68.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 51.1%
Neutral zone
Janmark 60.1%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Evans
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Evans
Janmark
Last 7: Evans 3-4 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
2
Evans
Janmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Janmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
2
Evans
Janmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (45)
44.6% (65)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Evans is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Evans shoots right. Janmark is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Evans
Janmark
Home
54.3% (35)
48.6% (35)
Away
47.6% (21)
38.2% (34)
By Period
Evans
Janmark
P1
66.7%
38.5%
P2
54.5%
46.4%
P3
36.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
35.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
51.8%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jake Evans |