Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Janmark on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Janmark 40.1% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 83.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Evans
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Evans
Janmark
Last 8: Evans 4-4 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
2
Evans
Janmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Janmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
2
Evans
Janmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
39.7% (907)
+14.1%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
32.5% (40)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
36.1% (72)
+11.0%
On power play, Evans has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Janmark is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Evans
Janmark
Home
53.4% (2,593)
39.3% (463)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
39.0% (556)
By Period
Evans
Janmark
P1
54.0%
41.2%
P2
50.9%
35.7%
P3
52.0%
41.3%
OT
46.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jake Evans |