Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Janmark on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.9% vs Janmark 40.1% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 83.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Evans
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Evans
Janmark
Last 8: Evans 4-4 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
2
Evans
Janmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Janmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
2
Evans
Janmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (3,567)
39.7% (907)
+13.8%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
32.5% (40)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (1,179)
36.1% (72)
+10.7%
On power play, Evans has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Evans is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,565).
Evans shoots right. Janmark is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Evans
Janmark
Home
53.2% (2,509)
39.3% (463)
Away
50.5% (2,307)
39.0% (556)
By Period
Evans
Janmark
P1
54.0%
41.2%
P2
50.5%
35.7%
P3
51.6%
41.3%
OT
42.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
51.9%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jake Evans |