Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.4%). Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.1% vs Thompson 50.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Evans
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Evans
Thompson
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Evans
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (320)
49.6% (230)
+2.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (83)
53.8% (52)
-12.8%
On power play, Evans has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Evans shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Evans
Thompson
Home
54.3% (223)
52.2% (134)
Away
45.1% (182)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Evans
Thompson
P1
53.9%
54.5%
P2
44.9%
48.0%
P3
52.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |