Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Evans
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Evans
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Evans
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
55.5% (236)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
60.0% (5)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
56.5% (46)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Evans
Thompson
Home
52.1% (503)
53.1% (128)
Away
47.0% (423)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Evans
Thompson
P1
50.5%
59.0%
P2
47.7%
55.4%
P3
51.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |