Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Suter 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 85.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.4%
Neutral zone
Suter 62.6%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Evans
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Evans
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Evans
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Evans
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
47.2% (299)
+7.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
58.9% (56)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
54.5% (22)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Suter is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Evans
Suter
Home
53.7% (581)
51.7% (172)
Away
50.5% (556)
47.3% (205)
By Period
Evans
Suter
P1
54.6%
48.2%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
52.3%
51.2%
OT
46.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |