Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Kupari 50.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 78.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 59.1%
Neutral zone
Kupari 61.6%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Evans
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Evans
Kupari
Last 6: Evans 2-4 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
2
4
Evans
Kupari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
50.5% (1,275)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
43.5% (23)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
50.4% (139)
-3.3%
On power play, Evans has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Evans
Kupari
Home
53.4% (2,593)
51.4% (782)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Evans
Kupari
P1
54.0%
49.9%
P2
50.9%
48.5%
P3
52.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Jake Evans |