Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 52.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 57.7%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 51.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Evans
Mitchell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
50.7% (2,523)
+3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
54.3% (35)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
50.7% (473)
-3.6%
On power play, Evans has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Evans
Mitchell
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Evans
Mitchell
P1
54.0%
54.8%
P2
50.9%
48.1%
P3
52.0%
49.6%
OT
46.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%